Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.005521 0.005836 0.006163 0.006527 0.006922 0.007340 0.007815
2025-12-21 0.004840 0.005279 0.005754 0.006310 0.006946 0.007654 0.008509
2025-12-28 0.004535 0.005052 0.005631 0.006330 0.007160 0.008123 0.009337
2026-01-04 0.004339 0.004918 0.005581 0.006406 0.007416 0.008629 0.010220
2026-01-11 0.004116 0.004729 0.005446 0.006357 0.007503 0.008918 0.010838
2026-01-18 0.003946 0.004588 0.005352 0.006345 0.007621 0.009240 0.011509
2026-01-25 0.003777 0.004437 0.005235 0.006288 0.007671 0.009470 0.012062
2026-02-01 0.003712 0.004408 0.005264 0.006415 0.007961 0.010025 0.013099
2026-02-08 0.003587 0.004297 0.005180 0.006388 0.008040 0.010293 0.013742
2026-02-15 0.003483 0.004206 0.005118 0.006382 0.008143 0.010596 0.014453
2026-02-22 0.003353 0.004077 0.004998 0.006291 0.008119 0.010712 0.014885
2026-03-01 0.003239 0.003963 0.004894 0.006215 0.008108 0.010843 0.015344
2026-03-08 0.003156 0.003887 0.004838 0.006204 0.008194 0.011124 0.016073
2026-03-15 0.003006 0.003720 0.004652 0.006003 0.007991 0.010955 0.016046
2026-03-22 0.002946 0.003669 0.004623 0.006022 0.008113 0.011290 0.016893
2026-03-29 0.002908 0.003646 0.004630 0.006093 0.008314 0.011761 0.018016
2026-04-05 0.002833 0.003570 0.004561 0.006048 0.008334 0.011940 0.018633
2026-04-12 0.002773 0.003513 0.004516 0.006036 0.008403 0.012203 0.019425
2026-04-19 0.002704 0.003440 0.004446 0.005983 0.008405 0.012350 0.020011
2026-04-26 0.002691 0.003446 0.004488 0.006101 0.008685 0.012988 0.021613
2026-05-03 0.002636 0.003390 0.004439 0.006076 0.008729 0.013217 0.022422
2026-05-10 0.002589 0.003345 0.004403 0.006071 0.008806 0.013507 0.023384
2026-05-17 0.002521 0.003269 0.004319 0.005986 0.008744 0.013542 0.023806